Joao Guerreiro

About

About me

I am a macroeconomist studying economic fluctuations and policy, with a focus on how expectations, labor markets, and household heterogeneity shape the transmission of shocks. My research spans fiscal and monetary economics and also examines how technological and demographic change reshape the economy and the design of public policy.

I am an Assistant Professor of Economics at UCLA and a Faculty Research Fellow at the NBER. During the 2025–26 academic year, I was a Junior Research Economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.

I received my Ph.D. in Economics from Northwestern University in 2023.

Updates

News

New papers and revisions.

  1. We posted a revised version of Ricardian Non-Equivalence.

Research

Papers

My work studies macroeconomics with an emphasis on policy, expectations, labor markets, and heterogeneity.

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Working Papers

Publications

Non-Refereed Work

Work in Progress

The Labor Mobility Slowdown: Origins and Macro Implications

  • Technology & Demographics
  • Labor

Teaching

Courses at UCLA

Graduate and undergraduate macroeconomics.

Fall 2023 & Spring 2025

ECON 221: Monetary Economics I

This graduate course introduces frontier research in monetary economics. It begins with the standard New Keynesian model, then studies imperfect expectations, household heterogeneity, and the interaction between the two.

Undergraduate

ECON 102: Macroeconomic Theory

This intermediate course develops the tools to study growth, consumption, investment, employment, inflation, recessions, and the roles of monetary and fiscal policy.